This is the accessible text file for GAO report number GAO-09-1048T 
entitled 'Troubled Asset Relief Program: Status of Efforts to Address 
Transparency and Accountability Issues' which was released on September 
24, 2009. 

This text file was formatted by the U.S. Government Accountability 
Office (GAO) to be accessible to users with visual impairments, as part 
of a longer term project to improve GAO products' accessibility. Every 
attempt has been made to maintain the structural and data integrity of 
the original printed product. Accessibility features, such as text 
descriptions of tables, consecutively numbered footnotes placed at the 
end of the file, and the text of agency comment letters, are provided 
but may not exactly duplicate the presentation or format of the printed 
version. The portable document format (PDF) file is an exact electronic 
replica of the printed version. We welcome your feedback. Please E-mail 
your comments regarding the contents or accessibility features of this 
document to Webmaster@gao.gov. 

This is a work of the U.S. government and is not subject to copyright 
protection in the United States. It may be reproduced and distributed 
in its entirety without further permission from GAO. Because this work 
may contain copyrighted images or other material, permission from the 
copyright holder may be necessary if you wish to reproduce this 
material separately. 

Testimony: 

Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. 
Senate: 

United States Government Accountability Office: 
GAO: 

For Release on Delivery: 
Expected at 9:30 a.m. EDT:
Thursday, September 24, 2009: 

Troubled Asset Relief Program: 

Status of Efforts to Address Transparency and Accountability Issues: 

Statement of Gene L. Dodaro: 
Acting Comptroller General of the United States: 

GAO-09-1048T: 

[End of section] 

Chairman Dodd, Ranking Member Shelby, and Members of the Committee: 

I am pleased to be here today to discuss our work on the Troubled Asset 
Relief Program (TARP), under which the Department of the Treasury 
(Treasury), through the Office of Financial Stability (OFS), has the 
authority to purchase or insure almost $700 billion in troubled assets 
held by financial institutions.[Footnote 1] As you know, about 1 year 
ago, Treasury was granted this authority in response to the financial 
crisis that has threatened the stability of the U.S. banking system and 
the solvency of numerous financial institutions. The Emergency Economic 
Stabilization Act (the act) that authorized TARP on October 3, 2008, 
requires GAO to report at least every 60 days on findings resulting 
from our oversight of actions taken under the program.[Footnote 2] Our 
statement today draws on the 7 reports we have issued to date under 
this mandate and on ongoing work.[Footnote 3] Our next report, planned 
to be issued early next month, will include a detailed progress report 
of TARP programs and activities over the past year. 

Specifically, this statement focuses on (1) the nature and purpose of 
activities that have been initiated under TARP over the past year and 
ongoing challenges; (2) Treasury's efforts to establish a management 
infrastructure for TARP; and (3) outcomes measured by indicators of 
TARP's performance. To do this work, we reviewed documents provided by 
OFS and conducted interviews with Treasury and OFS officials. In 
addition, we have updated the program's receipts and disbursements 
through September 11, 2009. We plan to continue to monitor the issues 
highlighted in this statement, as well as future and ongoing capital 
purchases and ongoing repurchases. We conducted this performance audit 
between June 2009 and September 2009 in accordance with generally 
accepted government auditing standards. 

Summary: 

TARP is one of many programs and activities the federal government has 
put in place over the past year to respond to the financial crisis. It 
represents a significant government commitment to stabilizing the 
financial system. For example, as of September 11, 2009, it had 
disbursed $363 billion to participating institutions. At the same time, 
TARP's Capital Purchase Program (CPP) has shown evidence of some 
success in returning funds to the federal government. Treasury has 
received almost $7 billion in dividend payments, about $2.9 billion in 
warrant liquidations, and over $70 billion in repurchases from 
institutions participating in CPP, as of August 31, 2009. But TARP 
still faces a variety of challenges. For example, CPP, the largest of 
the TARP programs, has hundreds of participating institutions. Because 
of its size, this program requires ongoing strong oversight to ensure 
that participants comply with the program's requirements as we have 
recommended in prior reports. In addition, most of the other investment-
based TARP programs that have provided assistance to a few large 
individual institutions present Treasury with the challenge of 
determining when assistance is no longer needed. Further, amid concerns 
about the strategic direction of the program and lack of transparency, 
the new administration has attempted to provide a more strategic plan 
for using the remaining funds and has created a number of programs 
aimed at stabilizing the securitization markets and preserving 
homeownership. While some programs, such as the Term Asset-backed 
Securities Loan Facility (TALF), are fully operational, others 
including the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) and the 
Public-Private Investment Program (PPIP), are still new and face 
ongoing implementation and operational challenges. Finally, even though 
substantial investments have been made to avert the collapse of 
American International Group, Inc. (AIG), General Motors Corporation 
(GM), and Chrysler LLC (Chrysler), the ultimate outcomes of these 
investments are unclear and will be influenced by the long-term 
viability of these entities. Certain of these TARP investments were 
made with Treasury's expectation that the disbursements would be 
returned to the federal government. HAMP funds, however, are direct 
expenditures which are not expected to be repaid. But given the many 
challenges and uncertainties facing TARP programs, the total cost to 
the government of these programs remains unclear at this time. 

OFS has continued to make progress in establishing a management 
infrastructure to administer TARP and oversee contractors and financial 
agents, but some challenges also remain in this area. Though OFS now 
has close to 200 staff, some key senior positions remain unfilled on a 
permanent basis, such as the Chief Homeownership Preservation Officer 
and Chief Investment Officer. Bringing on board permanent staff for 
these key positions is important in helping Treasury effectively 
administer TARP activities and ensuring accountability for program 
outcomes. Treasury has strengthened its management and oversight of its 
contractors as its reliance on them to support TARP grew over the past 
year. OFS continues to make progress in developing a comprehensive 
system of internal control. As we complete our first audit of OFS's 
annual financial statements for TARP, we will be able to provide a more 
definitive view of TARP's internal controls over financial reporting. 
Over the past year, OFS has also started to take steps to formalize its 
communication strategy and improve how it communicates with Congress 
and the public about TARP activities and the strategy for using TARP 
funds. Consistent and timely communication will continue to be an 
important function for Treasury as it continues to make important 
decisions on the use of TARP funds. 

While isolating and estimating the effect of TARP programs continues to 
present a number of challenges, indicators that we have been following 
of the cost of credit and perceptions of risk in credit markets suggest 
broad improvement since the announcement of CPP in October 2008. In 
particular, a significant improvement in the interbank market has been 
associated with the announcement of CPP and other programs outside 
TARP. Treasury has recently released a report that begins to discuss 
the next phase of its stabilization and rehabilitation efforts that 
also includes a range of indicators.[Footnote 4] Treasury's authority 
to purchase or insure additional troubled assets will expire on 
December 31, 2009, unless the Secretary submits a written certification 
to Congress. Thus, Treasury will need to make decisions about providing 
new funding for TARP programs in the next few months. A set of 
indicators could serve as part of an analytical basis for such a 
determination. 

We recognize the challenges associated with implementing a program 
during a crisis and concurrently establishing a comprehensive system of 
internal control. In the last year, we have made 36 recommendations to 
Treasury aimed at helping to improve the accountability, integrity, and 
transparency of TARP. Treasury has taken actions to address almost all 
of them and we continue to monitor those recommendations that may 
require additional action. We have continued to coordinate our work 
with entities created under the act that also were assigned oversight 
responsibilities for TARP, including the Congressional Oversight Panel, 
the Financial Stability Oversight Board, and the Special Inspector 
General for TARP (SIGTARP). We are currently conducting a coordinated 
review with SIGTARP on U.S. government oversight over and interaction 
with the management of institutions, where the government is 
approaching or in effect has majority owner status.[Footnote 5] We also 
have ongoing engagements reviewing the operations and activities of 
several TARP programs, including CPP, HAMP, PPIP, TALF, the Supervisory 
Capital Assessment Program ("stress tests"), AIG, and the Automobile 
Industry Financing Program (AIFP). 

TARP Strategy Has Evolved From Capitalizing Institutions to Stabilizing 
Securitization Markets and Preserving Homeownership: 

In the past year, Treasury has implemented a range of TARP programs to 
stabilize the financial system. As of September 11, 2009, it had 
disbursed just over $363 billion for TARP loans and equity investments 
(table 1). In addition to disbursements, participating institutions 
have paid Treasury billions of dollars in repurchases of preferred 
shares and warrants, dividend payments, and loan repayments. In 
particular, Treasury has received almost $7 billion in dividend 
payments, about $2.9 billion in warrant liquidations, and over $70 
billion in repurchases from institutions participating in CPP, as of 
August 31, 2009. 

Table 1: TARP Program Description and Total Disbursements, as of 
September 11, 2009 (dollars in billions): 

Program and Purpose: Capital Purchase Program. To provide capital to 
viable banks through the purchase of preferred shares and subordinated 
debentures; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $204.5. 

Program and Purpose: Targeted Investment Program. To foster market 
stability and thereby strengthen the economy by making case-by-case 
investments in institutions that Treasury deems are critical to the 
functioning of the financial system; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $40.0. 

Program and Purpose: Capital Assistance Program. To restore confidence 
throughout the financial system that the nation's largest banking 
institutions have sufficient capital to cushion themselves against 
larger-than-expected future losses, and to support lending to 
creditworthy borrowers; 
Total Disbursed[A]: TBD. 

Program and Purpose: Systemically Significant Failing Institutions. To 
provide stability in financial markets and avoid disruptions to the 
markets from the failure of a systemically significant institution. 
Treasury determines participation in this program on a case-by-case 
basis; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $43.2. 

Program and Purpose: Asset Guarantee Program. To provide government 
assurances for assets held by financial institutions that are viewed as 
critical to the functioning of the nation's financial system; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $0.0. 

Program and Purpose: Automotive Industry Financing Program. To prevent 
a significant disruption of the American automotive industry; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $75.9. 

Program and Purpose: Home Affordable Modification Program. To offer 
assistance to an estimated 3 to 4 million homeowners through a cost- 
sharing arrangement with mortgage holders and investors to reduce the 
monthly mortgage payment amounts of homeowners at risk of foreclosure 
to affordable levels; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $0.0[B]. 

Program and Purpose: Consumer & Business Lending Initiative.[C] To 
support consumer and business credit markets by providing financing to 
private investors to issue new securitizations to help unfreeze and 
lower interest rates for auto, student, and small business loans; 
credit cards; commercial mortgages; and other consumer and business 
credit; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $0.1. 

Program and Purpose: Public-Private Investment Program. To address the 
challenge of "legacy assets" as part of Treasury's efforts to repair 
balance sheets throughout the financial system and increase the 
availability of credit to households and businesses; 
Total Disbursed[A]: $0.0. 

Total: 
Total Disbursed[A]: $363.7. 

Source: Treasury OFS, unaudited. 

[A] Disbursement amounts do not reflect repurchases, dividend payments, 
and other receipts. 

[B] Treasury has disbursed $276,000 in HAMP incentive payments to 
participating servicers. 

[C] The Consumer & Business Lending Initiative includes TALF and the 
former Small Business and Community Lending Program. 

[End of table] 

CPP continues to be the largest and most widely used program under 
Treasury's TARP authority for stabilizing the financial system. Over 
the last year, CPP has made significant capital investments in 
financial institutions, and although Treasury has made progress in 
monitoring the activities of CPP participants, challenges remain in 
ensuring that participants comply with program requirements. As of 
September 11, 2009, CPP had provided more than $204 billion in capital 
to more than 670 institutions, about 56 percent of total TARP 
disbursements. The amount of disbursements has slowed significantly, in 
part, because the institutions receiving CPP capital in recent months 
are generally smaller than those that received capital in the beginning 
of the program. Also, many CPP applicants have withdrawn their 
applications from consideration because of uncertainties about program 
requirements and improving economic conditions. 

Consistent with our recommendations, Treasury began to collect detailed 
information for the largest institutions in February 2009 and basic 
information through monthly lending surveys from all CPP participating 
institutions later in June. These monthly surveys are an important step 
toward greater transparency and accountability for institutions of all 
sizes. We have also made recommendations that Treasury strengthen its 
oversight of participants' compliance with the act's program 
requirements (e.g., restrictions on executive compensation, dividend 
payments, and stock repurchases), and Treasury continues to make 
progress in these areas. For example, Treasury has hired three asset 
management firms to provide market advice about its portfolio of 
investments and to oversee compliance with the terms of CPP agreements. 
However, Treasury has yet to finalize the specific guidance and 
performance measures for the asset managers' oversight responsibilities 
and has not established a process for monitoring asset managers' 
performance. 

Early in the implementation of TARP, Treasury provided what it now 
refers to as "exceptional assistance" to three institutions--AIG, 
Citigroup and Bank of America. For example, Treasury, along with the 
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve), and 
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY), provided assistance to 
AIG, the sole participant in TARP's Systemically Significant Failing 
Institutions (SSFI) program. As discussed in our recently issued 
report, Treasury committed $70 billion in TARP funds to AIG and, 
together with the Federal Reserve, had made over $182 billion available 
to assist the company between September 2008 and April 2009.[Footnote 
6] As of September 2, 2009, the outstanding balance of federal 
government assistance used by AIG was $120.7 billion. In providing the 
assistance, Treasury and the Federal Reserve have taken several steps 
intended to protect the federal government's interest. These include 
making loans that are secured with collateral, instituting certain 
controls over management, and obtaining compensation for risks such as 
charging interest, requiring dividend payments, and obtaining warrants. 
Moreover, Treasury and the FRBNY staff routinely monitor AIG's 
operations and receive reports on AIG's condition and restructuring. 
While these efforts are being made, however, the government remains 
exposed to risks, including credit and investment risk. As a result, 
Treasury and FRNYB may not be repaid in full. We recently reported 
that, as of September 21, 2009, AIG had not declared and paid the three 
scheduled dividend payments since the inception of the preferred equity 
investments.[Footnote 7] According to Treasury, if AIG fails to make 
its next dividend payment due on November 1, Treasury will be able to 
directly elect at least two board members. GAO-developed indicators of 
AIG's repayment of federal assistance show some progress in AIG's 
ability to repay the federal assistance; however, any improvement in 
the stability of AIG's business depends on the long-term health of the 
company, market conditions, and continued federal government support. 
For this reason, the ultimate success of federal efforts to aid AIG's 
restructuring and the scope of possible repayments remain unclear at 
this point. 

Also during the early phase of TARP (December 2008), Treasury 
established the Automotive Industry Financing Program (AIFP) to help 
stabilize the U.S. automotive industry and avoid disruptions that would 
pose systemic risk to the nation's economy. Under this program, 
Treasury has committed a total of about $82.6 billion to help support 
automakers, automotive suppliers, consumers, and auto finance 
companies.[Footnote 8] Chrysler and GM have received a sizeable amount 
of funding to support their reorganization.[Footnote 9] In exchange, 
Treasury received a substantial ownership interest in the companies and 
debt obligations. Over the last year, Chrysler and GM filed for 
bankruptcy and streamlined their operations by closing factories and 
reducing the number of dealerships. However, whether the new Chrysler 
and new GM will achieve long-term financial viability remains unclear. 
As we have previously reported, Treasury should have a plan for ending 
its financial involvement with Chrysler and GM that indicates how it 
will divest itself of its ownership shares. In developing and 
implementing such a plan, Treasury should weigh the objective of 
expeditiously ending the federal government's financial involvement in 
the companies with the objective of recovering an acceptable amount of 
the funding provided to them. We will report later this fall on 
Treasury's approach to managing its ownership interests in the 
companies, how it plans to divest itself of these interests, and the 
progress the companies have made in restructuring since receiving 
federal government assistance. We also plan to report this winter on 
how Chrysler and GM's restructuring efforts have affected their pension 
plan assets and what the federal government's potential exposure will 
be should the companies terminate their plans. 

Following the early months of TARP implementation, which largely 
focused on capital investments and amid concerns about the overall 
strategic direction of the program and lack of transparency, the new 
administration has attempted to provide a more strategic direction for 
using the remaining funds and creating a number of programs aimed at 
stabilizing the securitization markets and preserving homeownership. 
For example, TALF, a program launched by Treasury and the Federal 
Reserve, has been mostly used for credit card and auto loan 
securitization and was extended through March 2010 for more asset 
classes.[Footnote 10] As of September 17, 2009, TALF loan requests are 
only about a quarter of the $200 billion maximum that Treasury 
currently anticipates being made by FRBNY, which is much less than the 
$1 trillion potential expansion that the Federal Reserve and Treasury 
initially announced.[Footnote 11] The relatively low loan volume could 
be attributed to recent improvements in securitization and credit 
markets that make the financing terms of TALF loans less attractive, 
according to agency officials and certain market participants. Because 
the Banking Agency Audit Act (31 U.S.C. § 714) prohibits GAO from 
auditing certain Federal Reserve activities, we are limited in our 
ability to review the Federal Reserve's actions with respect to TALF. 
In May 2009, legislation was passed that gave GAO authority to audit 
Federal Reserve actions taken with respect to three entities also 
assisted under TARP--AIG, Citigroup and Bank of America--but not TALF. 
To enable us to audit TARP support for TALF most effectively, we would 
support legislation to provide GAO with audit authority over Federal 
Reserve actions taken with respect to TALF, together with appropriate 
access. 

While TALF has been implemented, HAMP and PPIP face ongoing 
implementation and operational challenges. For example, 

* HAMP faces a significant challenge that centers on uncertainty over 
the number of homeowners it will ultimately help. Residential mortgage 
defaults and foreclosures are at historical highs and Treasury 
officials and others have identified reducing the number of unnecessary 
foreclosures as critical to the current economic recovery. In our July 
2009 report, we noted that Treasury's estimate of the 3 to 4 million 
homeowners who would likely be helped under the HAMP loan modification 
program may have been overstated.[Footnote 12] Further, concerns have 
been raised about the capacity and consistency of servicers 
participating in HAMP in offering loan modifications to qualified 
homeowners facing potential foreclosure. Treasury has taken some 
actions to encourage servicers to increase the number of modifications 
made, including sending a letter to participating HAMP servicers and 
meeting with them to discuss challenges to making modifications. 
However, the ultimate result of Treasury's actions to increase the 
number of HAMP loan modifications and the corresponding impact on 
stabilizing the housing market remains to be seen. Treasury faces other 
challenges in implementing HAMP, including ensuring that decisions to 
deny or approve a loan modification are transparent to borrowers and 
establishing an effective system of operational controls to oversee the 
compliance of participating servicers with HAMP guidelines. In July 
2009, we made six recommendations to Treasury to help improve the 
transparency and accountability of HAMP, which included recommending 
actions to monitor particular program requirements, reevaluate and 
review certain program components and assumptions, and strengthen 
internal controls over HAMP. Treasury noted that it will take various 
actions in response to our recommendations, such as exploring options 
to monitor counseling requirements and working to refine its internal 
controls over HAMP. We plan to continue to monitor Treasury's responses 
to our recommendations as part of our ongoing work on HAMP. 

* Treasury announced PPIP in March 2009, but as of September 2009 many 
elements of the program remain unimplemented and some have questioned 
whether the program is actually needed.[Footnote 13] While Treasury 
continues to take steps to implement the legacy securities program, the 
legacy loans program has been on hold since early June.[Footnote 14] 
Some market participants and observers we spoke with questioned the 
necessity and timing of PPIP, noting that while the problem of toxic 
assets remains, the program is less important now than when the crisis 
first began, for several reasons. One main reason cited by these 
individuals and by Treasury and the FDIC is that rising investor 
confidence following the stress test results and successful capital- 
raising by financial institutions reduced the need for the legacy loans 
portion of PPIP. In addition, banks have increasing incentives to hold 
troubled assets in the hopes that such assets will perform better in 
the future, rather than taking losses now. 

Treasury Has Made Progress in Developing OFS's Management 
Infrastructure, but Effective Communication Has Been an Ongoing 
Challenge: 

Treasury has continued to make progress in establishing OFS's 
management infrastructure, overseeing of contractors and financial 
agents, and developing a system of internal control for financial 
reporting. However, some challenges remain--for example, in staffing 
some key positions. 

* In accordance with our prior recommendation that it expeditiously 
hire personnel to OFS, Treasury continued to use direct-hire and 
various other appointments to bring a number of staff on board quickly 
and has 197 staff as of September 15, 2009. However, it has yet to fill 
several key senior positions. For example, in our July 2009 report we 
recommended that Treasury give high priority to filling the Chief 
Homeownership Preservation Officer position. Treasury has also been 
seeking to fill the Chief Investment Officer position since June 2009. 
Neither position has been filled with permanent staff as of September 
15, 2009. 

* Treasury has strengthened management and oversight as reliance on 
contractors to support TARP grew over the past year. Treasury is using 
contracts and financial agency agreements with several private sector 
firms to obtain a wide range of professional services and other 
support. In starting up TARP a year ago, OFS's management 
infrastructure lacked many of the necessary oversight procedures and 
internal controls for its growing number of contractors and financial 
agents, including a comprehensive and complete compliance system to 
monitor and appropriately address vendor-related conflicts of interest. 
However, Treasury has taken a number of steps toward overcoming a 
challenging contracting environment and has implemented or 
substantially implemented all of our contracting-and conflicts-of- 
interest recommendations we have made over the past year. 

* OFS has also made progress in developing a comprehensive system of 
internal control, as we recommended. As required by section 116(b) of 
the act, we are currently performing the audit of TARP's financial 
statements and the related internal controls. Our objectives are to 
render opinions on (1) the financial statements as of and for the 
period ending September 30, 2009, and (2) internal control over 
financial reporting and compliance with applicable laws and regulations 
as of September 30, 2009. We will also be reporting on the results of 
our tests of TARP's compliance with selected provisions of laws and 
regulations related to financial reporting. The results of our 
financial statement audit will be published in a separate report. 

We also made a series of recommendations aimed at improving the 
transparency of TARP including that Treasury establish more effective 
communication with Congress and the public and develop a clearly 
articulated strategy for the program, among other things. Consistent 
with our recommendations, OFS has taken steps over the last year to 
formalize its communication strategy and improve its communications 
with Congress and the public about TARP activities and the strategy for 
using TARP funds. Consistent and timely communication will continue to 
be an important focus for Treasury as it makes key decisions on the 
remaining use of TARP funds. 

Indicators Suggest Positive Developments in Credit Markets, but 
Isolating TARP's Impact Continues to Present Challenges: 

While isolating and estimating the effect of TARP programs continues to 
present a number of challenges, indicators of the cost of credit and 
perceptions of risk in credit markets suggest broad improvement since 
the announcement of CPP in October 2008. As we have noted in prior 
reports, if TARP is having its intended effect, a number of 
developments might be observed in credit and other markets over time, 
such as reduced risk spreads, declining borrowing costs, and more 
lending activity than there would have been in its absence. However, a 
slow recovery does not necessarily mean that TARP is failing, because 
it is not clear what would have happened without the programs. In 
particular, several market factors helping to explain slow growth in 
lending include weaknesses in securitization markets and the balance 
sheets of financial intermediaries, a decline in the demand for credit, 
and the reduced creditworthiness among borrowers. Nevertheless, as 
shown in table 2, credit market indicators we have been monitoring 
suggest there has been broad improvement in interbank, mortgage, and 
corporate debt markets in terms of the cost of credit and perceptions 
of risk (as measured by premiums over Treasury securities). In 
addition, empirical analysis of the interbank market, which showed 
signs of significant stress in 2008, suggests that CPP and other 
programs outside TARP that were announced in October 2008 have resulted 
in a statistically significant improvement in risk spreads even in the 
presence of other important factors. Although rising foreclosures 
continue to highlight the challenges facing the U.S. economy, total 
mortgage originations in the second quarter of 2009 have more than 
doubled since the fourth quarter of 2008. 

Table 2: Select Credit Market Indicators as of September 15, 2009: 

Credit market rates and spreads: 

Indicator: LIBOR; 
Description: 3-month London interbank offered rate (an average of 
interest rates offered on dollar-denominated loans); 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 446. 

Indicator: TED Spread; 
Description: Spread between 3-month LIBOR and 3-month Treasury yield; 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 434. 

Indicator: Aaa bond rate; 
Description: Rate on highest quality corporate bonds; 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 130. 

Indicator: Aaa bond spread; 
Description: Spread between Aaa bond rate and 10-year Treasury yield; 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 83. 

Indicator: Baa bond rate; 
Description: Rate on corporate bonds subject to moderate credit risk; 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 239. 

Indicator: Baa bond spread; 
Description: Spread between Baa bond rate and 10-year Treasury yield; 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 192. 

Indicator: Mortgage rates; 
Description: 30-year conforming loans rate; 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 139. 

Indicator: Mortgage spread; 
Description: Spread between 30-year conforming loans rate and 10-year 
Treasury yield; 
Basis point change since October 13, 2008: Down 78. 

Quarterly mortgage volume and defaults: 

Indicator: Mortgage originations; 
Description: New mortgage loans; 
Change from December 31, 2008 to June 20, 2009: Up $290 billion to $550 
billion. 

Indicator: Foreclosure rate; 
Description: Percentage of homes in foreclosure; 
Change from December 31, 2008 to June 20, 2009: Up 100 basis points to 
4.30 percent. 

Sources: GAO analysis of data from Global Insight, the Federal Reserve, 
Thomson Reuters Datastream, and Inside Mortgage Finance. 

Note: Rates and yields are daily except mortgage rates, which are 
weekly. Higher spreads (measured as premiums over Treasury securities 
of comparable maturity) represent higher perceived risk in lending to 
certain borrowers. Higher rates represent increases in the cost of 
borrowing for relevant borrowers. As a result, "Down" suggests 
improvement in market conditions for credit market rates and spreads. 
Foreclosure rate and mortgage origination data are quarterly. See 
previous TARP reports for a more detailed discussion (GAO-09-161 and 
GAO-09-296). 

[End of table] 

Though it is difficult to isolate the impact of TARP, economic and 
credit market indicators will provide important information as Treasury 
makes decisions about the future of the program. Treasury has recently 
released a report that begins to discuss the next phase of its 
stabilization and rehabilitation efforts and includes several 
indicators. Treasury's authority to purchase or insure additional 
troubled assets will expire on December 31, 2009, unless the Secretary 
submits a written certification to Congress describing "why the 
extension is necessary to assist American families and stabilize 
financial markets, as well as the expected cost to the taxpayers for 
such an extension." In the next few months, Treasury will need to make 
decisions about providing new funding for TARP programs. A set of 
indicators could serve as part of an analytical basis for such a 
determination. 

Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member Shelby, and Members of the Committee, I 
appreciate the opportunity to discuss these critically important issues 
and would be happy to answer any questions that you may have. Thank 
you. 

For further information on this testimony, please contact Thomas J. 
McCool on (202) 512-2642 or mccoolt@gao.gov. 

[End of section] 

Footnotes: 

[1] The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, Pub. L. No. 110- 
343, 122 Stat. 3765 (2008) originally authorized Treasury to buy or 
guarantee up to $700 billion in troubled assets. The Helping Families 
Save Their Homes Act of 2009, Pub. L. No. 111-22, Div. A, amended the 
act and reduced the maximum allowable amount of outstanding troubled 
assets under the act by almost $1.3 billion, from $700 billion to 
$698.741 billion. 

[2] The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, Pub. L. No. 110- 
343, 122 Stat. 3765 (2008). The act requires the U.S. Comptroller 
General to report at least every 60 days, as appropriate, on findings 
resulting from oversight of TARP's performance in meeting the act's 
purposes; the financial condition and internal controls of TARP, its 
representatives, and agents; the characteristics of asset purchases and 
the disposition of acquired assets, including any related commitments 
entered into; TARP's efficiency in using the funds appropriated for its 
operations; its compliance with applicable laws and regulations; and 
its efforts to prevent, identify, and minimize conflicts of interest 
among those involved in its operations. 

[3] See GAO, Troubled Asset Relief Program: Additional Actions Needed 
to Better Ensure Integrity, Accountability, and Transparency, 
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-161] (Washington, D.C.: 
Dec. 2, 2008); Troubled Asset Relief Program: Status of Efforts to 
Address Transparency and Accountability Issues, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-296] (Washington, D.C.: Jan. 30, 
2009); Troubled Asset Relief Program: March 2009 Status of Efforts to 
Address Transparency and Accountability Issues, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-504] (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 31, 
2009); Auto Industry: Summary of Government Efforts and Automakers' 
Restructuring to Date, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-553] (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 23, 
2009); Troubled Asset Relief Program: June 2009 Status of Efforts to 
Address Transparency and Accountability Issues, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-658] (Washington, D.C.: June 17, 
2009); Troubled Asset Relief Program: Treasury Actions Needed to Make 
the Home Affordable Modification Program More Transparent and 
Accountable, [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-837] 
(Washington, D.C.: July 23, 2009); and Troubled Asset Relief Program: 
Status of Government Assistance to AIG, [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-975] (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 21, 
2009). 

[4] Department of the Treasury, The Next Phase of Government Financial 
Stabilization and Rehabilitation Policies (Washington, D.C.: September 
2009). 

[5] This coordinated effort with SIGTARP will cover organizations 
receiving TARP funds, such as AIG, General Motors, Chrysler, GMAC, Bank 
of America, and Citigroup. It will also review the federal government's 
involvement in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. 

[6] [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-975]. 

[7] AIG only has to make dividend payments when it declares dividends. 

[8] We reported previously on this program. See [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-553]. 

[9] Ford Motor Company did not seek assistance from AIFP. 

[10] The TALF extension is through March 2010 for all asset classes 
except new commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), which will be 
accepted through July 2010. 

[11] FRBNY currently plans to provide up to $200 billion in TALF loans 
using non-TARP funds, and Treasury currently plans to provide up to $20 
billion in TARP funds to purchase collateral surrendered in the event 
TALF loans are not repaid. 

[12] [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-837]. 

[13] PPIP was created to help restart the market for legacy assets 
(both securities and loans), to allow banks and other financial 
institutions to free up capital, and to stimulate the extension of new 
credit. 

[14] For the legacy securities program, Treasury publicly named 9 fund 
managers for the public-private investment funds (PPIFs) in July 2009, 
but the selections are preliminary, awaiting final agreements between 
Treasury and the managers. Until the final agreements are in place, the 
PPIFs cannot receive firm investor commitments, begin investing, or 
receive funding from Treasury. For legacy loans, FDIC has tested a 
pilot program on assets it acquired through a bank failure that could 
form the basis of a fully implemented legacy loans program. For FDIC to 
fully implement the legacy loan program, however, Treasury (with a 
recommendation from the Federal Reserve Board) needs to make a systemic 
risk determination, and FDIC officials think this is unlikely unless 
economic conditions deteriorate significantly. 

[End of section] 

GAO's Mission: 

The Government Accountability Office, the audit, evaluation and 
investigative arm of Congress, exists to support Congress in meeting 
its constitutional responsibilities and to help improve the performance 
and accountability of the federal government for the American people. 
GAO examines the use of public funds; evaluates federal programs and 
policies; and provides analyses, recommendations, and other assistance 
to help Congress make informed oversight, policy, and funding 
decisions. GAO's commitment to good government is reflected in its core 
values of accountability, integrity, and reliability. 

Obtaining Copies of GAO Reports and Testimony: 

The fastest and easiest way to obtain copies of GAO documents at no 
cost is through GAO's Web site [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov]. Each 
weekday, GAO posts newly released reports, testimony, and 
correspondence on its Web site. To have GAO e-mail you a list of newly 
posted products every afternoon, go to [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov] 
and select "E-mail Updates." 

Order by Phone: 

The price of each GAO publication reflects GAO’s actual cost of
production and distribution and depends on the number of pages in the
publication and whether the publication is printed in color or black and
white. Pricing and ordering information is posted on GAO’s Web site, 
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/ordering.htm]. 

Place orders by calling (202) 512-6000, toll free (866) 801-7077, or
TDD (202) 512-2537. 

Orders may be paid for using American Express, Discover Card,
MasterCard, Visa, check, or money order. Call for additional 
information. 

To Report Fraud, Waste, and Abuse in Federal Programs: 

Contact: 

Web site: [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/fraudnet/fraudnet.htm]: 
E-mail: fraudnet@gao.gov: 
Automated answering system: (800) 424-5454 or (202) 512-7470: 

Congressional Relations: 

Ralph Dawn, Managing Director, dawnr@gao.gov: 
(202) 512-4400: 
U.S. Government Accountability Office: 
441 G Street NW, Room 7125: 
Washington, D.C. 20548: 

Public Affairs: 

Chuck Young, Managing Director, youngc1@gao.gov: 
(202) 512-4800: 
U.S. Government Accountability Office: 
441 G Street NW, Room 7149: 
Washington, D.C. 20548: